World Politics · resolved market
Yoon released from custody before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdacc745a99d36105820855873049e4380b8f94c55a7a21ecdb308bb1f456867d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $773,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…4a67backed Yes | 7c | 30,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 78c | 18,814$14,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.83 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 72c | 18,399$13,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.61 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 68c | 18,000$12,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,235.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed No | 59c | 15,892$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…16fbbacked Yes | 31c | 15,323$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 11c | 15,036$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.04 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 43c | 13,441$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.17 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed Yes | 23c | 13,294$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed No | 63c | 12,856$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 9c | 11,540$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.34 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed Yes | 28c | 10,121$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 22c | 9,977$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 21c | 9,161$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 8,708$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.56 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 13c | 7,800$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…f334backed Yes | 15c | 7,764$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 25c | 7,620$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.91 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…b018backed Yes | 9c | 7,284$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed Yes | 55c | 6,309$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…4e9ebacked Yes | 34c | 6,167$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 20c | 5,626$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed No | 46c | 5,621$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 80c | 5,230$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.76 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…50a4backed Yes | 18c | 5,085$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,762$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.57 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 79c | 4,639$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.14 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 57c | 4,600$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.57 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 6c | 4,411$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 8c | 4,100$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524e…4389backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…155ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,783$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…6643backed Yes | 39c | 3,760$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 16c | 3,757$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.62 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…17c2backed Yes | 22c | 3,735$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…02d8backed Yes | 16c | 3,515$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.91 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 13c | 3,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 64c | 3,338$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.18 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0583backed No | 50c | 3,293$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 12c | 2,722$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,581$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed No | 78c | 2,468$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,454$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.54 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 17c | 2,386$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 67c | 2,376$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 37c | 2,045$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.7 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…a91cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,988$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…1a6fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,852$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…4021backed Yes | 10c | 1,817$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…07cebacked Yes | 38c | 1,711$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…dbaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,619$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 32c | 1,377$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.93 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 56c | 1,369$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 18c | 1,358$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 74c | 1,266$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…cf36backed Yes | 50c | 1,148$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…c133backed No | 72c | 1,146$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 48c | 1,144$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 28c | 1,139$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.69 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…9fcebacked Yes | 5c | 1,110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 80c | 1,100$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 36c | 1,073$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…9ee7backed Yes | 55c | 1,071$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,060$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…63eebacked Yes | 18c | 994.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 992.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 17c | 983.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 17c | 975.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 954.53$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked Yes | 46c | 950$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 25c | 900.45$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 3c | 888$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 39c | 850$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…8045backed No | 60c | 813.53$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…96b1backed No | 38c | 800$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…fe08backed Yes | 50c | 671.12$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 16c | 619.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 13c | 559.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed No | 55c | 529.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed Yes | 43c | 500.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…c2ddbacked Yes | 44c | 465.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…7583backed Yes | 6c | 459.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 17c | 444$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes | 45c | 443$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 440$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 26c | 395.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 44c | 363$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…8265backed Yes | 12c | 351.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 347.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 73c | 338$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…b0f3backed Yes | 20c | 331.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 52c | 309.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a3d2backed Yes | 21c | 304.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed Yes | 16c | 299.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.