NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaad190fc1567ef3fd0b842600959933d9da47be326541eec5d37e1d76071d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 46c | 3,368$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 54c | 3,300$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.05 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 55c | 2,128$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.97 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 1c | 1,768$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 898$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 823.27$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 642.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 55c | 380.62$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 318.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 59c | 283.7$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 206.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b1…b1dbbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…cefebacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…6f61backed Over | 46c | 199.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…4f87backed Over | 46c | 199.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…3fe8backed Over | 46c | 197.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…4bedbacked Under | 54c | 197$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…3cfdbacked Over | 46c | 196.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…1d39backed Under | 54c | 196$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 47c | 195.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…2320backed Over | 46c | 195.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…fb27backed Over | 46c | 194.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…4b40backed Under | 54c | 192$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…7045backed Under | 54c | 192$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cd…1427backed Under | 54c | 191$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 53c | 190.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 47c | 189.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…d363backed Over | 46c | 187.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027f…6aa3backed Under | 54c | 184$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…318abacked Over | 46c | 181.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed Under | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…b810backed Under | 54c | 177$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…7d06backed Over | 46c | 174.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…4f08backed Over | 46c | 173.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…f714backed Under | 54c | 171$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 158.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…7cbabacked Over | 48c | 158$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8068…27edbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…6258backed Under | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 132.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…5bf0backed Under | 54c | 129.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 107.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 103.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 60c | 69.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b1…e043backed Under | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…a4bdbacked Under | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…3318backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…8466backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 46c | 46.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 45.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 54c | 43.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 43.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 46c | 43.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ccfbbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb233…ae08backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 53c | 32.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 50c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Over | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…7bfebacked Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 28.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 25.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…fa63backed Under | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Under | 52c | 20.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 59c | 17.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. SenatorsPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.