CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b3173a1f2bc9a8718c7ff7d66eabd8c621b847b1a6bd6e004b4101fd0094ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Gentle Mates, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,864 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 2,252$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 1,691$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked HyperSpirit | 24c | 742.07$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.4 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Gentle Mates | 5c | 634.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked HyperSpirit | 26c | 618.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 556.66$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 468.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 431.39$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 248.87$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 218$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 212.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Gentle Mates | 9c | 205.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 182.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 163$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…7860backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 150.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 142.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked HyperSpirit | 24c | 141$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 114.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 113$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 79.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 73.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed HyperSpirit | 22c | 72.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HyperSpirit | 72c | 70.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…e266backed HyperSpirit | 69c | 68.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 65.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 61.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 59.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 55.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…ea7dbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 52.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed HyperSpirit | 25c | 49.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 48.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 44.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 40.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed HyperSpirit | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 29.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…fdf4backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 28.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 24.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…425abacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 23.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 19.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…b98fbacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.