CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd84f59d70071b18a606921d437f84fd27ab3f24979e8f6f36c6b10a7febc07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof K27, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1WIN | 70c | 2,038$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 23c | 1,902$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.66 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 35c | 1,813$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed K27 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…148fbacked K27 | 44c | 946.59$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked K27 | 12c | 894.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked K27 | 14c | 564.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked 1WIN | 59c | 408.55$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.44 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed K27 | 33c | 400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 61c | 312.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed K27 | 41c | 271.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked 1WIN | 50c | 255$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed K27 | 33c | 227.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked K27 | 31c | 206.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed K27 | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 61c | 193.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed K27 | 31c | 190.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed 1WIN | 50c | 149.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…40d1backed K27 | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked 1WIN | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed K27 | 19c | 92.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed K27 | 26c | 88.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked 1WIN | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 1WIN | 64c | 77.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1WIN | 75c | 55.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked K27 | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked 1WIN | 34c | 50.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed K27 | 41c | 42.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed K27 | 32c | 41.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked K27 | 30c | 41.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed 1WIN | 63c | 38.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 1WIN | 51c | 33.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked K27 | 69c | 29.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed 1WIN | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…9684backed K27 | 41c | 24.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1WIN | 65c | 24.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked 1WIN | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.