CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dceffd46df1d4323de76c5e42c7b190fe406bc60a2306d44b8be8054a1ba9fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof K27, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked K27 | 2c | 2,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed K27 | 1c | 1,995$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked 1WIN | 45c | 1,727$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.85 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked 1WIN | 8c | 1,595$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.18 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 32c | 1,119$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked 1WIN | 48c | 602.76$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a011backed K27 | 51c | 585.58$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed K27 | 65c | 534.09$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1WIN | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked K27 | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 66c | 455.03$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed 1WIN | 54c | 373.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.77 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed K27 | 8c | 372.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 58c | 371$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed 1WIN | 63c | 338.66$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked K27 | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 30c | 269.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.89 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed K27 | 15c | 267$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked K27 | 67c | 211.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked K27 | 72c | 174.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed 1WIN | 9c | 125.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked 1WIN | 45c | 109.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed K27 | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked K27 | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed K27 | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…40d1backed 1WIN | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1WIN | 20c | 88.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 43c | 82.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed K27 | 65c | 74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…d9fabacked K27 | 67c | 70.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed K27 | 46c | 54.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1WIN | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 1WIN | 41c | 47.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked 1WIN | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked K27 | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed K27 | 62c | 30.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed K27 | 71c | 25.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 1WIN | 49c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 1WIN | 58c | 18.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed K27 | 63c | 17.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.