CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98e38e0da432832d30b56fd2b4d6c59fd81316082ff721c2c011f4840359669d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Rebels Gaming, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Rebels Gaming | 46c | 5,107$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.71 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Lavked | 55c | 2,463$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.55 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked | 59c | 2,228$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.23 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 1,831$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.37 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Lavked | 63c | 1,433$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.92 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Rebels Gaming | 30c | 960.96$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Lavked | 52c | 876.43$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.78 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lavked | 58c | 580$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Lavked | 69c | 444$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lavked | 53c | 380$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Lavked | 53c | 308.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lavked | 54c | 265$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Lavked | 53c | 216.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Rebels Gaming | 49c | 205.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Lavked | 51c | 189.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Lavked | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Lavked | 74c | 105.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Lavked | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Lavked | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rebels Gaming | 34c | 78.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Lavked | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 54c | 62.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 55c | 60.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…ba4ebacked Lavked | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Lavked | 53c | 54.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lavked | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lavked | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lavked | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lavked | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Lavked | 64c | 40.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Lavked | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Lavked | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Lavked | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8397backed Lavked | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rebels Gaming | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Rebels Gaming | 45c | 29.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…e266backed Lavked | 57c | 26.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…39dfbacked Lavked | 65c | 21.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Rebels Gaming | 62c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.