CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3242cbd068430f83353cefd3020c510ee56b175cb097071a7cc3aac536e610bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Rebels Gaming, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 75c | 3,308$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Rebels Gaming | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.84 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rebels Gaming | 42c | 1,496$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.4 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Lavked | 63c | 1,316$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.81 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 60c | 1,306$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 73c | 1,255$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Rebels Gaming | 29c | 946$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Lavked | 62c | 943.29$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 825.3$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed Lavked | 58c | 700$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Rebels Gaming | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 652.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Rebels Gaming | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rebels Gaming | 37c | 476$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Lavked | 68c | 472.76$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Rebels Gaming | 18c | 276$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rebels Gaming | 18c | 264$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Rebels Gaming | 18c | 256$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Rebels Gaming | 18c | 244$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Lavked | 64c | 239.73$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rebels Gaming | 37c | 217.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Rebels Gaming | 33c | 199.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Rebels Gaming | 39c | 180.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 157.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Lavked | 65c | 138.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 121.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Lavked | 62c | 116$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rebels Gaming | 24c | 110.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lavked | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…f932backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 68c | 97.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…9ccfbacked Lavked | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 88.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rebels Gaming | 29c | 83.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rebels Gaming | 32c | 82.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lavked | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lavked | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Lavked | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lavked | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Rebels Gaming | 39c | 46.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lavked | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed Rebels Gaming | 24c | 42.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rebels Gaming | 31c | 42.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked Rebels Gaming | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lavked | 62c | 38.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Rebels Gaming | 40c | 36.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…81c7backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 29.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Rebels Gaming | 39c | 27.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Lavked | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 80c | 21.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Lavked | 67c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Lavked | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…3b56backed Lavked | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…cf10backed Lavked | 66c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Lavked | 76c | 16.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Lavked | 64c | 16.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…204fbacked Lavked | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.