TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Johnny Speedsof Betclic Apogee Esports, Johnny Speeds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3db4…d69bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports54c5,700$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.8875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Johnny Speeds35c2,002$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.5111240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Johnny Speeds45c1,699$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.4865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds49c1,577$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7983,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds51c1,413$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.584,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds51c1,325$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.143,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds49c1,303$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.757,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Betclic Apogee Esports60c1,106$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.144,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds44c557.1$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.96,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports55c554.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6436253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Johnny Speeds51c550.49$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe2a…bff2backed Betclic Apogee Esports66c399.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622250%11 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Betclic Apogee Esports50c319.81$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Betclic Apogee Esports54c299.49$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Betclic Apogee Esports56c259.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5893261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Johnny Speeds27c258$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6415935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Betclic Apogee Esports44c223.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9147641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Betclic Apogee Esports53c209.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.495642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Betclic Apogee Esports56c179.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Johnny Speeds48c174.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2110447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Betclic Apogee Esports58c170.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3110651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Johnny Speeds40c166$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Johnny Speeds45c154.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.891,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Johnny Speeds30c133$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.614827.1%13 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Johnny Speeds55c127.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0647053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…2da2backed Betclic Apogee Esports53c123.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Betclic Apogee Esports52c120.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.016251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Betclic Apogee Esports51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Johnny Speeds43c114.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3131328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Johnny Speeds45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1171951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Johnny Speeds45c100.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1151755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Johnny Speeds21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7933241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Betclic Apogee Esports58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.071,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Betclic Apogee Esports54c83.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.517537.3%28 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Betclic Apogee Esports54c83.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.595750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds45c82.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.642,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Betclic Apogee Esports49c80.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.713324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Johnny Speeds46c79.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7815355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Johnny Speeds36c79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Johnny Speeds49c78.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1732443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Betclic Apogee Esports62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.322,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds18c68.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.862,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Betclic Apogee Esports64c68.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Johnny Speeds54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6238858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…1931backed Betclic Apogee Esports55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305756.1%32 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Betclic Apogee Esports57c54.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.655,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports55c53.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5715160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Johnny Speeds30c53.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.231,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a7…64fabacked Johnny Speeds52c50.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Johnny Speeds46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7636334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Betclic Apogee Esports53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Betclic Apogee Esports53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports50c41.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0811655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac14…415abacked Johnny Speeds50c39.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Betclic Apogee Esports77c38.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Johnny Speeds51c38.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.613050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Johnny Speeds48c34.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7195849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4d…cc22backed Betclic Apogee Esports60c32.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Betclic Apogee Esports56c30.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa30f…90c2backed Betclic Apogee Esports75c29.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Johnny Speeds51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2336845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Johnny Speeds52c25.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2211646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Betclic Apogee Esports53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.629347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15b…109dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports62c17.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.