CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c7c183c08bdb3abba4c062ea96cef7032702d45f2a1f83daaf98bf9bb40adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Leo Team, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 75c | 1,332$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 25c | 1,253$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 23c | 1,205$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Ursa | 76c | 712.43$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Leo Team | 36c | 686.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 11c | 592$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Leo Team | 25c | 542.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Ursa | 74c | 449$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 75c | 399.36$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Leo Team | 34c | 303.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…cee9backed Leo Team | 23c | 292$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Leo Team | 23c | 276.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Ursa | 76c | 207.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa | 66c | 203$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Ursa | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…ecdbbacked Ursa | 78c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +118%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Ursa | 58c | 172.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leo Team | 15c | 164.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…0d3bbacked Leo Team | 31c | 163.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Ursa | 51c | 143.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Ursa | 51c | 142$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Leo Team | 16c | 132.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Ursa | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leo Team | 21c | 120.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leo Team | 47c | 108.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 48c | 103.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Leo Team | 26c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Leo Team | 49c | 101.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Leo Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Ursa | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Ursa | 66c | 96.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team | 23c | 93.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Ursa | 57c | 89.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Leo Team | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Leo Team | 31c | 82.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Ursa | 74c | 74.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 72c | 67.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Ursa | 80c | 62.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Leo Team | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Ursa | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Leo Team | 41c | 53.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Ursa | 75c | 52.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Ursa | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Leo Team | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Leo Team | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ursa | 74c | 42.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Leo Team | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ursa | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Ursa | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed Leo Team | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Ursa | 58c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…985ebacked Ursa | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 42c | 25.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Ursa | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Ursa | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…e9a9backed Ursa | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ursa | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Ursa | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.