MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7082c83cab46c29064f689c1075e4cc04f6fd5deb651d8fb8a6dd6200ae70d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Doosan Bears, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked LG Twins | 60c | 5,284$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 2,604$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.84 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed LG Twins | 60c | 839.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.21 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 708.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 649.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 609.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 595.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 551.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 57c | 519.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 56c | 519.49$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed LG Twins | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked LG Twins | 56c | 286.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Doosan Bears | 38c | 277.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 187.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 186.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 66c | 179.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 150.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked LG Twins | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 145.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Doosan Bears | 31c | 129.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 103.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked LG Twins | 75c | 103.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 92.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 65c | 92.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed LG Twins | 55c | 70.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked LG Twins | 55c | 61.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 57.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 56.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LG Twins | 70c | 56.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed LG Twins | 55c | 54.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed LG Twins | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed LG Twins | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 49.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Doosan Bears | 23c | 46.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 44.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 42.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed LG Twins | 58c | 39.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked LG Twins | 57c | 36.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 32.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 64c | 31.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed LG Twins | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 78c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.