TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CA Boca Juniorsof CA Boca Juniors, Barcelona SC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CA Boca Juniors45c15,369$6,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.6829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Barcelona SC53c5,961$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.7142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Barcelona SC54c5,450$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Barcelona SC53c4,102$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.95050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Barcelona SC56c2,723$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.112,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Barcelona SC59c2,614$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Boca Juniors41c2,158$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.393,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Barcelona SC59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Barcelona SC55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed CA Boca Juniors41c1,857$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.5450746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Barcelona SC53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed Barcelona SC54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Barcelona SC55c1,010$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Barcelona SC59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Barcelona SC59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Barcelona SC58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Barcelona SC57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Barcelona SC58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Barcelona SC58c974.8$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Barcelona SC54c833$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.156944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed CA Boca Juniors41c497.02$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2445253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked CA Boca Juniors45c323.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Barcelona SC47c322$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.632,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Barcelona SC53c281.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.073,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Barcelona SC57c252.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8130754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked CA Boca Juniors43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked CA Boca Juniors48c203.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.564753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Barcelona SC54c193$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.282,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked CA Boca Juniors55c179.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.999428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked CA Boca Juniors48c161.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.235844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CA Boca Juniors62c124.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Barcelona SC54c114.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.567269.4%50 W · 22 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked CA Boca Juniors48c113.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.256572.3%47 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Barcelona SC45c111.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.741,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Barcelona SC54c109.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Barcelona SC55c101.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Barcelona SC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barcelona SC50c90.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1433745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Barcelona SC53c82.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6711858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd8…7e8ebacked Barcelona SC56c77.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed Barcelona SC60c76.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed CA Boca Juniors48c61.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.098021.3%17 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…d28abacked CA Boca Juniors43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a9…ffa8backed Barcelona SC58c55.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed CA Boca Juniors58c54.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Barcelona SC54c44.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Barcelona SC53c36.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5acf…f993backed Barcelona SC55c31.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Barcelona SC51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8129653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed CA Boca Juniors58c30.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CA Boca Juniors40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Barcelona SC60c24.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6411262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Barcelona SC58c23.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.631838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Barcelona SC50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Barcelona SC57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47052.9%37 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.