South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93da23a889b7712d860a2664ebcbfa380b36c2751d89ef878ab39ef277db822c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 43c | 7,026$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.07 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 77c | 4,665$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 34c | 3,469$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.54 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 3,398$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.83 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 2,246$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 57c | 1,991$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 40c | 1,245$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.52 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Under | 54c | 821.14$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 559.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 466.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 17c | 405.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 361.25$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Under | 7c | 312.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 248.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 245.37$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 16c | 227.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Under | 11c | 226.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Under | 10c | 209.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Under | 9c | 206.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +483.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 54c | 100.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 56c | 84.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 79.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 48c | 77.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed Under | 52c | 75.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 43c | 74.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a83…5087backed Over | 65c | 74.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 70c | 42.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 41.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…d28abacked Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 79c | 31.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 50c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.