CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e8c6312bc19e346a090e2c2364aa09f8a73a594230a2fb183ad42c02e5a094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Voca, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,841 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Voca | 37c | 1,075$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 6c | 1,031$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Voca | 50c | 935.55$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 575.41$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Voca | 65c | 186.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 149$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 141.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 136.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 131.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 122.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Voca | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Voca | 14c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 86.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Voca | 36c | 70.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Voca | 39c | 46.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Voca | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Voca | 57c | 41.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 35.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Voca | 41c | 30.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.