Tennis · resolved market
Los Cabos Open: Alex Hernandez vs Bernard Tomic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc64bbf11d1e190f436a6ecf42a906df8bb6839c8732119e95bfb191f6108d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernard Tomicof Alex Hernandez, Bernard Tomic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alex Hernandez | 40c | 6,090$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.64 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Hernandez | 6c | 5,048$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bernard Tomic | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 4,308$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic | 66c | 3,556$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 2,528$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bernard Tomic | 60c | 1,773$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.58 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alex Hernandez | 14c | 1,579$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 1,534$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Alex Hernandez | 40c | 1,421$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.34 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 1,327$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Alex Hernandez | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Bernard Tomic | 60c | 897.98$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.83 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alex Hernandez | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Alex Hernandez | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Alex Hernandez | 37c | 542.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Bernard Tomic | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Bernard Tomic | 60c | 428$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bernard Tomic | 59c | 371.84$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 346.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Alex Hernandez | 8c | 326.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernard Tomic | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Alex Hernandez | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Bernard Tomic | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Bernard Tomic | 72c | 233.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Bernard Tomic | 59c | 206.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bernard Tomic | 80c | 201.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bernard Tomic | 61c | 200.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Bernard Tomic | 61c | 165.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernard Tomic | 76c | 130.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Alex Hernandez | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Bernard Tomic | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Alex Hernandez | 38c | 111.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Alex Hernandez | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alex Hernandez | 37c | 88.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Bernard Tomic | 61c | 80.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Bernard Tomic | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Bernard Tomic | 61c | 65.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Alex Hernandez | 38c | 62.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 54.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Bernard Tomic | 60c | 54.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bernard Tomic | 68c | 53.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Alex Hernandez | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Bernard Tomic | 75c | 50.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Alex Hernandez | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bernard Tomic | 68c | 45.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Bernard Tomic | 60c | 36.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Bernard Tomic | 71c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bernard Tomic | 70c | 31.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Bernard Tomic | 63c | 31.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bernard Tomic | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bernard Tomic | 69c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bernard Tomic | 62c | 25.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Bernard Tomic | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Bernard Tomic | 65c | 21.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bernard Tomic | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…093bbacked Bernard Tomic | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Bernard Tomic | 61c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Bernard Tomic | 72c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Cabos Open: Alex Hernandez vs Bernard Tomicthis page
- Set Handicap: Tomic (-1.5) vs Hernandez (+1.5)Tomic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.