Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Michael Mmoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abcb000441a9cc2ba7c8f1b9bbb7a49c78592921643cf9740fcc3015927cf85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Mmohof Yu-Hsiou Hsu, Michael Mmoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Mmoh | 70c | 1,278$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…2fcdbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 41c | 1,095$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 20c | 977.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Michael Mmoh | 80c | 914$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 19c | 588.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 46c | 436.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 21c | 340.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Michael Mmoh | 75c | 315$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Mmoh | 51c | 230.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Mmoh | 56c | 202.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh | 65c | 141.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 116.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Michael Mmoh | 55c | 112.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 19c | 111.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Michael Mmoh | 70c | 98.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 45c | 97.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Michael Mmoh | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…df25backed Michael Mmoh | 55c | 82.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Michael Mmoh | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Michael Mmoh | 67c | 77.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Michael Mmoh | 56c | 64.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Michael Mmoh | 68c | 47.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Michael Mmoh | 54c | 46.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 46c | 44.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 46c | 44.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 47c | 42.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Michael Mmoh | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…b70dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 50c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Michael Mmoh | 66c | 24.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Michael Mmoh | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…c2eabacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 55c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.