Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Yuta Tomida vs Isaac Becroft
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b7c04378fa48d90cdae82c8aa061d970c752e6a3f633f6e70b1c21e97366ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isaac Becroftof Yuta Tomida, Isaac Becroft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Isaac Becroft | 52c | 4,257$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuta Tomida | 50c | 3,908$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.46 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yuta Tomida | 49c | 1,420$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Isaac Becroft | 59c | 1,110$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yuta Tomida | 47c | 625.11$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Isaac Becroft | 52c | 517.74$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yuta Tomida | 50c | 351$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yuta Tomida | 61c | 263$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Isaac Becroft | 61c | 171.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isaac Becroft | 58c | 129.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yuta Tomida | 51c | 125.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yuta Tomida | 51c | 122.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yuta Tomida | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Isaac Becroft | 61c | 97.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Yuta Tomida | 58c | 73.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yuta Tomida | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Yuta Tomida | 44c | 64.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yuta Tomida | 51c | 60.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Isaac Becroft | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Yuta Tomida | 21c | 53.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Isaac Becroft | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Isaac Becroft | 67c | 45.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yuta Tomida | 41c | 27.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Isaac Becroft | 57c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Isaac Becroft | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Isaac Becroft | 55c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Isaac Becroft | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.