MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c9a818c280184ac085a2ce9f2c6eefa1f0d3a31084cfa9cd979721e548acb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Lotte Giants, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 3,157$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.6 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 67c | 2,728$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 77c | 1,892$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.81 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 57c | 733.06$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.89 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 17c | 626.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 612.45$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 541.32$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed KT Wiz | 58c | 499.92$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 342.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 59c | 324.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 7c | 293.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Lotte Giants | 25c | 282.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 243.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 75c | 204.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 179.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed KT Wiz | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 148$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 128.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed KT Wiz | 62c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 101.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 99.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lotte Giants | 22c | 94.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 87.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 29c | 77.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 72.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 64.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 25c | 61.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed KT Wiz | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed KT Wiz | 54c | 52.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 23c | 46.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 40.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 35.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 31.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed KT Wiz | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed KT Wiz | 63c | 28.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed KT Wiz | 68c | 28.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…d929backed KT Wiz | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 24.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed KT Wiz | 53c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked KT Wiz | 57c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KT Wiz | 71c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.