Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Matthieu Chambonniere vs Branko Djuric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0479ffe750a17ff817d5e58bfe40ce6d09a207ad5d22ce83bfa6a7f463bc8c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthieu Chambonniereof Matthieu Chambonniere, Branko Djuric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Branko Djuric | 63c | 3,357$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 36c | 2,805$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.22 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Branko Djuric | 6c | 2,408$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Branko Djuric | 42c | 1,157$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 35c | 560.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 45c | 319.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 37c | 277$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 44c | 274.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 37c | 110.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Branko Djuric | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 33c | 98.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…8865backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 32c | 98.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 16c | 95.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 37c | 91.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 17c | 87.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 37c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Branko Djuric | 64c | 57.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 39c | 57.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Branko Djuric | 48c | 56.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 37c | 44.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Branko Djuric | 69c | 31.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Branko Djuric | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Branko Djuric | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Branko Djuric | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Branko Djuric | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.