Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aldershot: James Beaven vs Giulio Perego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772cf4718a84e7429f25bf0a48b9f9b468cbdba941efc97cb6e33fc4730376ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giulio Peregoof James Beaven, Giulio Perego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked James Beaven | 60c | 4,959$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.78 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Giulio Perego | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Giulio Perego | 41c | 1,625$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.51 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Giulio Perego | 29c | 879.24$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Giulio Perego | 29c | 582.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.76 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Giulio Perego | 55c | 453.81$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed James Beaven | 56c | 248.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Giulio Perego | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked James Beaven | 63c | 177.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Giulio Perego | 29c | 108.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked James Beaven | 45c | 84.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked James Beaven | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed James Beaven | 67c | 63.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Giulio Perego | 48c | 62.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked James Beaven | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed James Beaven | 37c | 55.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Giulio Perego | 60c | 44.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed James Beaven | 33c | 44.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed James Beaven | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Giulio Perego | 55c | 40.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed James Beaven | 48c | 40.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | -32.9wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Beaven | 54c | 38.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked James Beaven | 59c | 37.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Giulio Perego | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.