Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed225c7fbe9d5e22981c873231f67e68482f75884ba058acefe6f3068abc641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Nicholls Colonels, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,858 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 6,618$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.4 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 3,378$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 3,320$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 2,738$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.3 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Nicholls Colonels | 34c | 1,844$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.81 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 1,152$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 901.53$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.37 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicholls Colonels | 9c | 816.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicholls Colonels | 14c | 677.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 635.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Nicholls Colonels | 14c | 547.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicholls Colonels | 25c | 534.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 484.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicholls Colonels | 3c | 359.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 358.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 331.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 68c | 297.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 272.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nicholls Colonels | 27c | 239.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 238.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 209.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 198.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Nicholls Colonels | 27c | 183.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 181.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 181.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Nicholls Colonels | 16c | 161.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nicholls Colonels | 24c | 151.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 144.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 73c | 135.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 133.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Nicholls Colonels | 24c | 129.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 111.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 109.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nicholls Colonels | 26c | 103.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 87.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Nicholls Colonels | 22c | 78.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 78.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 60.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 78c | 57.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nicholls Colonels | 27c | 54.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 52.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Nicholls Colonels | 29c | 50.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 49.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 41.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nicholls Colonels | 31c | 37.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nicholls Colonels | 30c | 35.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 74c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8f7cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 72c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 73c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosthis page
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-5.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-6.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.