Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35fb1809751874af6708afe516b1f124c930f195efe21f4940a1ecb17f32084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 51c | 29,864$15,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,230.59 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 49c | 15,111$7,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,706.61 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 6,225$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.92 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 5,392$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.13 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.17 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 50c | 879.41$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.19 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 600$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 49c | 509.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 51c | 388.88$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 366.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Over | 52c | 283.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 51c | 95.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 74.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 50c | 59.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 52c | 43.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 29.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 154.5this page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn QuakersPenn Quakers won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.