TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Florida Ospreys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Florida Ospreysof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, North Florida Ospreys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…2b81backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles74c5,430$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.572,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Florida Ospreys24c4,311$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.375,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles69c3,837$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.5234943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Florida Ospreys26c2,931$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.192,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles72c2,844$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.11,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c1,669$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.0821149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Florida Ospreys31c1,399$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.591,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Florida Ospreys28c959.88$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.721,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles68c701.89$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.472,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles75c614.96$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.723,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked North Florida Ospreys31c586.17$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4623149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Florida Ospreys27c575.34$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.832,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles61c486.01$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.393,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Florida Ospreys30c400$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28255532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed North Florida Ospreys32c310.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8853635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles8c307.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles22c306.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Florida Ospreys32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles64c237.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.981,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Florida Ospreys33c199.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.841,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles69c188.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked North Florida Ospreys40c173.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed North Florida Ospreys29c172.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6530649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88af…62b9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles32c150.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed North Florida Ospreys24c132.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles10c130.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Florida Ospreys35c107.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.121,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles66c101.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2737441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles66c92.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c90.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.234,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked North Florida Ospreys29c81.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.329747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles71c73.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c72.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c67.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0357655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed North Florida Ospreys32c60.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked North Florida Ospreys34c58.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed North Florida Ospreys34c56.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked North Florida Ospreys30c43.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7817945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles71c41.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed North Florida Ospreys31c40.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8819860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked North Florida Ospreys28c40.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.872454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles70c39.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5223754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed North Florida Ospreys35c37.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.219056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles68c33.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c29.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.635852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015b…33f8backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles74c26.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74c…adfebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles64c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-72.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc250…5eafbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles61c23.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.362161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles74c14.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0369142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.