TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Mercyhurst Lakers, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c5,017$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.791,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c3,847$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.892,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c1,984$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.9646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mercyhurst Lakers36c1,823$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mercyhurst Lakers37c1,752$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c1,532$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.941,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c1,166$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.6426254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c1,082$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.292,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mercyhurst Lakers31c971.75$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c883.93$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0544549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c673.3$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mercyhurst Lakers33c670.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.24,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Mercyhurst Lakers36c527.77$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercyhurst Lakers44c469.47$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c431.29$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.239742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers37c363.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.672,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c304.63$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mercyhurst Lakers40c299.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c295.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c263.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4324737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca7…b4adbacked Mercyhurst Lakers38c260.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.181540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c235$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Mercyhurst Lakers38c231.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c204.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.331526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mercyhurst Lakers40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c180.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7225544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers37c175.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9238837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils68c172$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.12,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils65c166.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.21,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils78c164.44$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.741,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers36c160$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c154.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88af…62b9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils41c152.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.332748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c151.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.152860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils67c149.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers37c138.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3813743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c132.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e93…a454backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e0…3b44backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mercyhurst Lakers36c99.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffa6…5db4backed Mercyhurst Lakers41c99.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…8ec6backed Mercyhurst Lakers41c99.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils68c89.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c82.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c79.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.364,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c74.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c74.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils51c73.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.925239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Mercyhurst Lakers32c70.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils66c69.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c66.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.614451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Mercyhurst Lakers34c61.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8422157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mercyhurst Lakers32c59.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils70c58.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c58.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.173,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils32c57.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1427055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c53.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.849150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers37c53.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.843151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers35c50.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.999747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c49.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Mercyhurst Lakers38c49.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4719860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mercyhurst Lakers34c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c40.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.499470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers37c37.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9517945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1493941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c34.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8425152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c33.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.443,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c30.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.382552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.139050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils72c28.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8513560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c25.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c23.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.377865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils69c21.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.