Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a201e6942a41cefc30de4012e94a592adc060c4a08d9d64141368300a2798b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Missouri State Bears, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears | 60c | 2,791$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Missouri State Bears | 68c | 1,901$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.08 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 1,860$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Missouri State Bears | 51c | 1,458$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 56c | 1,384$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 39c | 1,191$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.11 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 67c | 936.1$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 765.04$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Missouri State Bears | 66c | 674.01$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 629.61$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 38c | 574.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 33c | 502.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 483.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 452.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Missouri State Bears | 44c | 448.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 411.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 378.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 342.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 45c | 323.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Missouri State Bears | 43c | 298.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Missouri State Bears | 56c | 297.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State Bears | 36c | 229.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 226.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Missouri State Bears | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Missouri State Bears | 42c | 199.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 144.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…8688backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 141.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State Bears | 41c | 115.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Missouri State Bears | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Missouri State Bears | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…62b9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 46c | 105.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Missouri State Bears | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State Bears | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 78c | 96.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 95.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 39c | 90.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 42c | 73.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Missouri State Bears | 19c | 70.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 70.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Missouri State Bears | 64c | 70.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 68.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 59.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Missouri State Bears | 44c | 58.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 44c | 48.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 48.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Missouri State Bears | 64c | 44.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 33c | 43.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 42.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Missouri State Bears | 53c | 37.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 36.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 60c | 29.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Missouri State Bears | 49c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Missouri State Bears | 43c | 23.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Missouri State Bears | 68c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-2.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.