TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Memphis Tigers vs. East Carolina Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
East Carolina Piratesof Memphis Tigers, East Carolina Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Memphis Tigers1c21,809$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.363,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Memphis Tigers64c12,885$8,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,246.3989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed East Carolina Pirates36c8,212$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,255.444738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Memphis Tigers65c4,520$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.2929845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked East Carolina Pirates36c2,836$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.744548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked East Carolina Pirates35c2,502$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.452,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Memphis Tigers24c2,052$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.591,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Memphis Tigers19c1,748$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Memphis Tigers67c1,559$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9160949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Memphis Tigers26c1,518$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.144,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Memphis Tigers2c1,257$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked East Carolina Pirates37c1,174$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.481,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Memphis Tigers22c1,097$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.719051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked East Carolina Pirates32c910$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked East Carolina Pirates58c886.84$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.671,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Memphis Tigers65c883.57$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.951,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed East Carolina Pirates73c796.69$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.642,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Memphis Tigers18c768.84$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Memphis Tigers11c454.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Memphis Tigers17c399.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed East Carolina Pirates35c322.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked East Carolina Pirates33c306.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4316546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked East Carolina Pirates34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Memphis Tigers9c299.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6525325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed East Carolina Pirates36c276.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7625049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Memphis Tigers66c270.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5936535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked East Carolina Pirates35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed East Carolina Pirates35c194.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.641,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88af…62b9backed Memphis Tigers24c186.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.062748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked East Carolina Pirates72c154.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed East Carolina Pirates35c150.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked East Carolina Pirates35c148.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.721,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed East Carolina Pirates33c140.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.871,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed East Carolina Pirates35c133.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Memphis Tigers55c131.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed East Carolina Pirates36c123.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3520051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed East Carolina Pirates35c112.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3962140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Memphis Tigers17c112.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.077350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Memphis Tigers64c102.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7117945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked East Carolina Pirates34c99.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7131537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Memphis Tigers27c97.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1164647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed East Carolina Pirates36c96.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.996740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed East Carolina Pirates36c93.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Memphis Tigers65c91.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed East Carolina Pirates35c88.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2612141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Memphis Tigers20c72.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed East Carolina Pirates37c67.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.223542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked East Carolina Pirates72c65.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Memphis Tigers65c51.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Memphis Tigers65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Memphis Tigers65c45.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8129954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked East Carolina Pirates36c41.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8648551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked East Carolina Pirates33c38.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9361244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Memphis Tigers66c27.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9819860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked East Carolina Pirates79c24.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.113256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.