Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a04049bb121e6a21429ea8198657f8d466565a0b5d3410460692a1dbe019658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolina Piratesof Memphis Tigers, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.16 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 604.37$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 587.95$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Memphis Tigers | 50c | 463.91$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Memphis Tigers | 50c | 305.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed East Carolina Pirates | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 236.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 133.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked East Carolina Pirates | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Memphis Tigers | 50c | 118.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina Pirates | 44c | 113.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed East Carolina Pirates | 46c | 75.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed East Carolina Pirates | 44c | 29.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-4.5)this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.