Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Buffalo Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6036d34085a440ae3cc430faa52fa8d17d52ad56112711ce5be122956839e317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Central Michigan Chippewas, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 25,579$8,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,493.15 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 2,759$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.51 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 2,541$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo Bulls | 57c | 2,337$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 2,302$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 1,805$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.56 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 1,151$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.01 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 1,125$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 1,124$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.23 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 1,124$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.23 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 70c | 1,122$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.04 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 812.47$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 651.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.29 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 606.39$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.54 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 564.48$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 559.55$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 496.47$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Buffalo Bulls | 14c | 420.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Buffalo Bulls | 49c | 350.76$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 346.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Buffalo Bulls | 70c | 330.88$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Buffalo Bulls | 39c | 323.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 19c | 304.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…a425backed Buffalo Bulls | 9c | 275.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 77c | 256.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 63c | 220.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 42c | 196.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 176.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 75c | 140.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 30c | 138.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 133.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 112.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 111.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…62b9backed Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 92.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 85.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 79.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 57c | 75.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 69.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…6067backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 67.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Buffalo Bulls | 80c | 55.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 63c | 55.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…f144backed Buffalo Bulls | 38c | 50.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 47.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 31c | 41.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 41.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Buffalo Bulls | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…cb3fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…a3fbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 39c | 37.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 33.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 26.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 47c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Buffalo Bulls | 66c | 23.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 19.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Buffalo Bulls | 77c | 15.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Buffalo Bullsthis page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-5.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.