Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zips
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9513a6fb674d6fc5e7c83ceeefb2084f77263518840ceedbb86ac7e5795c4eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Buffalo Bulls, Akron Zips
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 16c | 17,207$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 8,665$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.16 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Buffalo Bulls | 16c | 4,713$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.16 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 7c | 4,254$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 2,630$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 1,562$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 5c | 1,458$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 2c | 1,357$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 1,329$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 1,306$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Buffalo Bulls | 1c | 1,262$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Buffalo Bulls | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 1,158$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5f64backed Buffalo Bulls | 7c | 979.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 922.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 8c | 747.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 727.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Buffalo Bulls | 12c | 599.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 587.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Buffalo Bulls | 12c | 550.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 524.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Buffalo Bulls | 16c | 442.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 429.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Buffalo Bulls | 8c | 422.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Buffalo Bulls | 5c | 404.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Buffalo Bulls | 16c | 383.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Buffalo Bulls | 17c | 363.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 22c | 329.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 328.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Buffalo Bulls | 12c | 307.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…9518backed Buffalo Bulls | 32c | 306.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 299.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 254.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 9c | 237.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Buffalo Bulls | 12c | 223.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 209.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…7a77backed Buffalo Bulls | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 198.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0f…87c5backed Akron Zips | 77c | 144.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 137.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 132.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 117.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Buffalo Bulls | 23c | 109.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Akron Zips | 79c | 106.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 99.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 99.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Akron Zips | 78c | 94.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Akron Zips | 79c | 91.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 90.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 90.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 90.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Buffalo Bulls | 15c | 75.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Akron Zips | 66c | 66.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Buffalo Bulls | 21c | 56.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Akron Zips | 79c | 17.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zipsthis page
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zips: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-12.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-13.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-14.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.