Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68fbdd38b19e84a9614a9ff3efba0e2ff72cd03613dc43886d570283288e8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Kansas State Wildcats, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 12c | 10,812$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 6,649$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas State Wildcats | 16c | 2,791$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.54 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Kansas State Wildcats | 16c | 1,555$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 1,554$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 1,504$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 13c | 1,193$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 16c | 1,111$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 11c | 862.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed BYU Cougars | 79c | 820.6$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked BYU Cougars | 80c | 795.52$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 15c | 681.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 650.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Kansas State Wildcats | 16c | 622.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 9c | 416.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 15c | 394.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 375.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 368.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 341.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 11c | 335.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas State Wildcats | 12c | 308.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 298.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 258$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 245.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 241.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 234.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kansas State Wildcats | 16c | 221.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 218.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Kansas State Wildcats | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 14c | 149.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kansas State Wildcats | 11c | 123.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 118.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 23c | 111.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 109.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Kansas State Wildcats | 26c | 95.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 95.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed BYU Cougars | 73c | 78.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 74.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BYU Cougars | 71c | 63.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed BYU Cougars | 71c | 57.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Kansas State Wildcats | 21c | 49.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…d691backed BYU Cougars | 78c | 33.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed BYU Cougars | 80c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsthis page
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5Over won
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 166.5Over won
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-10.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-11.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.