Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5e8533dace30803be41cee5168a6055b559fe4bf4e2171f501f9350275d99a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,658 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas State Wildcats | 50c | 3,370$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.13 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 2,163$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 49c | 1,611$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.2 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 1,028$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 543.37$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Kansas State Wildcats | 63c | 338.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed BYU Cougars | 37c | 247.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 187.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas State Wildcats | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 48c | 127.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 107.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 57.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 53.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Kansas State Wildcats | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Kansas State Wildcats | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 51c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 32.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Kansas State Wildcats | 50c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-10.5)this page
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5Over won
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 166.5Over won
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-11.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.