Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Passion UA vs Team Tidebound (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x878ddd13c75a7ee96eb65df84e9fb715f5ade4539b2cf17242bfe6e178ccdc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Passion UA, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Passion UA | 31c | 3,217$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Passion UA | 27c | 2,640$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Tidebound | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Passion UA | 17c | 1,392$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Tidebound | 75c | 1,317$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 1,095$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 952.09$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Tidebound | 80c | 925.61$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 12c | 876.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 610$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA | 20c | 601.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Passion UA | 29c | 600.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Passion UA | 34c | 589.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 553.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound | 72c | 516.35$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Passion UA | 10c | 487.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Passion UA | 22c | 456.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Tidebound | 68c | 414.84$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Passion UA | 30c | 369.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Team Tidebound | 73c | 321.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 313.61$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Passion UA | 28c | 310.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Passion UA | 33c | 271.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 6c | 259.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Passion UA | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 214.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA | 14c | 214$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Passion UA | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Tidebound | 68c | 169.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Passion UA | 29c | 161.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Passion UA | 19c | 160.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Passion UA | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 106.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 80c | 104.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Passion UA | 32c | 79.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Passion UA | 21c | 72.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Passion UA | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Passion UA | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…8366backed Passion UA | 21c | 66.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 46.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Passion UA | 28c | 45.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Team Tidebound | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Tidebound | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed Team Tidebound | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 25.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Team Tidebound | 68c | 23.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Passion UA vs Team Tidebound (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Passion UA vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Dota 2: Passion UA vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.