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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UTEP Miners vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof UTEP Miners, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57a8…6933backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders78c3,824$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.3974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked UTEP Miners25c3,270$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.737441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UTEP Miners22c2,555$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.12,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UTEP Miners24c2,302$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders76c1,800$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2727450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c1,715$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.191,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UTEP Miners26c910.12$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.561,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c868.46$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1221646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed UTEP Miners24c791.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders76c674.28$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders76c581.79$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.633354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders76c566.81$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79c507.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked UTEP Miners23c500$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UTEP Miners9c416.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders78c384.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders76c327.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.961,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UTEP Miners24c300.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.052,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UTEP Miners25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked UTEP Miners24c198.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.614451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c162.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked UTEP Miners20c158.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders80c137.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.943,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79c132.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9330054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders78c131.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c129.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4140755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked UTEP Miners23c129.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4217945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders76c123.48$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6344549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed UTEP Miners12c107.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3870936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed UTEP Miners22c73.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0722043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c58.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5912846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12bb…cee9backed UTEP Miners24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed UTEP Miners24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders77c39.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders77c33.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79c31.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.619947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked UTEP Miners56c25.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4335650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79c25.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2962140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453f…6b3bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79c19.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.012352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c16.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.225844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.