Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229719eac46a131d18623f80abb8546470eb6c691ff14acae1a65c0069a2f5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof San Diego Toreros, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Portland Pilots | 44c | 3,827$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed San Diego Toreros | 63c | 3,161$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.33 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 2,685$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.63 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Toreros | 63c | 2,187$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.85 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed San Diego Toreros | 38c | 1,830$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.31 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland Pilots | 32c | 1,735$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.91 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Portland Pilots | 38c | 1,639$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.04 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Toreros | 62c | 1,595$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Pilots | 19c | 1,586$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.9 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Portland Pilots | 62c | 1,302$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.75 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Toreros | 54c | 1,136$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 36c | 995.75$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed San Diego Toreros | 43c | 953.63$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Toreros | 62c | 852.91$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Portland Pilots | 46c | 723.69$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.56 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed San Diego Toreros | 38c | 711.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Portland Pilots | 39c | 687.03$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.21 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland Pilots | 64c | 535.72$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Toreros | 76c | 494.21$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed San Diego Toreros | 38c | 469.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed San Diego Toreros | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots | 37c | 425.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland Pilots | 54c | 391.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Toreros | 64c | 321.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Portland Pilots | 15c | 141.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed San Diego Toreros | 37c | 140.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked San Diego Toreros | 74c | 131.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Diego Toreros | 44c | 124.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed San Diego Toreros | 41c | 121.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Toreros | 37c | 99.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Portland Pilots | 58c | 74.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed San Diego Toreros | 40c | 71.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed San Diego Toreros | 38c | 65.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 64.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed San Diego Toreros | 36c | 63.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed San Diego Toreros | 59c | 60.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed San Diego Toreros | 58c | 57.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Portland Pilots | 63c | 55.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked San Diego Toreros | 36c | 54.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed San Diego Toreros | 69c | 44.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego Toreros | 24c | 43.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Portland Pilots | 26c | 40.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed San Diego Toreros | 38c | 38.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Portland Pilots | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…e6f6backed San Diego Toreros | 39c | 29.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked San Diego Toreros | 37c | 28.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked San Diego Toreros | 39c | 25.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Portland Pilots | 64c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilotsthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 146.5Over won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 147.5Over won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Portland Pilots (-4.5)Portland Pilots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.