Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6504ca959e6de7360c1b2523e9ccfb72933599a0a4df8e62e5ad9968df79a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 5,830$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.23 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 2,987$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.9 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 1,080$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.45 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 991.29$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Over | 53c | 491.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 275.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 55c | 211.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 177.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 137.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 127.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 54c | 110.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 91.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 90.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed Over | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 83.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Under | 70c | 57.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 59c | 51.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 49c | 28.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 47c | 28.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…fb0dbacked Over | 53c | 27.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 144.5this page
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-6.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-7.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-8.5)Incarnate Word Cardinals won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word CardinalsStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 142.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 143.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.