TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Quentin Halys vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Quentin Halys, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,220 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Quentin Halys65c39,999$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,999.62321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf95b…4b96backed Adam Walton45c15,142$6,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,284.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+63.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Adam Walton51c11,513$5,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,672.358,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c9…fc36backed Quentin Halys0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Quentin Halys65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Quentin Halys63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9912147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Adam Walton35c9,688$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,274.471,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f2…2348backed Adam Walton35c7,902$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,136.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Quentin Halys63c7,055$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.3810650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Adam Walton49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Adam Walton37c6,389$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,043.4224448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Adam Walton35c6,361$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.6531332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Adam Walton34c6,241$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.427,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Adam Walton34c4,579$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.337146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Quentin Halys66c4,300$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Adam Walton37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52040744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Quentin Halys38c3,925$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Adam Walton35c3,878$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.721338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Quentin Halys31c3,853$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.52,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Adam Walton35c3,155$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.751,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Quentin Halys42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26022553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Adam Walton35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9502470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Adam Walton35c2,689$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.5920043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Quentin Halys66c2,565$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6934040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Quentin Halys68c2,494$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.5281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Adam Walton35c2,473$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.4515952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Adam Walton67c2,394$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.452,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Adam Walton35c2,054$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.0138133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Adam Walton34c1,800$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.975339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Adam Walton45c1,792$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.126,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e2…0f06backed Adam Walton49c1,649$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Quentin Halys66c1,521$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.972544%11 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Adam Walton35c1,516$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.847,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Quentin Halys50c1,404$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Adam Walton35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Quentin Halys51c1,321$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.742,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Adam Walton35c1,295$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.95949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Adam Walton50c1,275$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.57037.1%26 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Adam Walton36c1,260$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.447552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Quentin Halys53c1,253$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.0920554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Adam Walton51c1,170$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.3617552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Quentin Halys51c1,150$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.343948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Quentin Halys37c1,103$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2617936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Adam Walton37c990$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.73154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Quentin Halys66c909.09$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Adam Walton35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Quentin Halys57c865.04$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Adam Walton35c841.93$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.2578152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Adam Walton36c835.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.962,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Adam Walton38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4964562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Quentin Halys65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52014536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Quentin Halys65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Quentin Halys65c766.15$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49844754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Quentin Halys61c765$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.654630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Adam Walton44c739.44$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.434,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Quentin Halys66c720.99$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8511158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Quentin Halys65c715$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Adam Walton35c684.86$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.169949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Adam Walton63c653.16$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6719835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Adam Walton38c645.55$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.371,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Adam Walton38c640.63$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.7425433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Adam Walton54c597.27$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.732,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Adam Walton28c590.42$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.11,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Adam Walton35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4343448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Quentin Halys3c559.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Quentin Halys4c555$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Quentin Halys55c553$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.151,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Adam Walton35c550$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.55425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Quentin Halys65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Adam Walton35c500$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Quentin Halys66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Adam Walton40c433.6$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.167368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Adam Walton36c425$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5385748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…afaabacked Adam Walton36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9917…7740backed Quentin Halys66c416.67$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Quentin Halys55c407.07$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7368951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Adam Walton35c374.29$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2919653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Quentin Halys51c372.55$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Adam Walton68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6584963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Adam Walton37c345$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.596634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Quentin Halys66c339.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22435268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Adam Walton39c320.51$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5124560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Quentin Halys55c316.34$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.413,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Adam Walton45c303$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.651,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Quentin Halys28c301.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Adam Walton39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18326541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Adam Walton34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Adam Walton36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8246649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8baa…d404backed Quentin Halys65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Adam Walton35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Adam Walton35c280$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1823132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Quentin Halys60c279.67$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2122949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton36c277.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.936,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Quentin Halys61c272.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Adam Walton56c267.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.048262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Quentin Halys62c263.15$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1542046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Quentin Halys60c258.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Adam Walton38c258.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0516146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Adam Walton39c250$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.528747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc62…b7ddbacked Quentin Halys66c246.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.