TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c6,498$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.0174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under46c2,868$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.998548.2%41 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c1,779$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.1512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c1,511$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.612,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c1,310$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.772,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under46c1,249$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.4813746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Under50c745.42$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.715556.4%31 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c504$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.125,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Under51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.621735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c33.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over51c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1761244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c26.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0814143.3%61 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under46c25.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6719348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.