TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buffalo Bullsof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Buffalo Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles31c13,328$4,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Buffalo Bulls69c9,925$6,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.7915748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles34c7,599$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.152,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Buffalo Bulls64c4,882$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.211,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles36c4,777$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.922,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Buffalo Bulls66c3,734$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.7155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Buffalo Bulls69c3,275$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.3484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Buffalo Bulls66c2,949$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Buffalo Bulls63c2,425$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.2629845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Buffalo Bulls67c1,384$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles34c1,279$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9975447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Buffalo Bulls68c1,217$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.193,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles34c1,200$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo Bulls65c1,188$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles11c826.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.094,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles6c752.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.941,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Eastern Michigan Eagles35c709.89$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4621549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Eastern Michigan Eagles32c516.92$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3762140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Eastern Michigan Eagles39c505.75$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2478052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Eastern Michigan Eagles31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles17c494.36$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Buffalo Bulls74c449.93$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.251,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles39c444.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5479448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ff…184ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles35c425.38$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles40c372.61$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.741,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles24c351.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5d…fad9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles13c338.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…4c10backed Buffalo Bulls70c297.8$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles39c254.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Eastern Michigan Eagles40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles36c244.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7925837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles8c224.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.982,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6427048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles10c199.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.091,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles38c198.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.371,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Buffalo Bulls68c195.44$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4222950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea4…8a05backed Eastern Michigan Eagles7c180.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Eastern Michigan Eagles38c173.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9521850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles37c166.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Eastern Michigan Eagles31c154.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7512141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Buffalo Bulls69c147.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8113560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles23c136.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls64c130.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.535,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Buffalo Bulls62c113.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1640755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Buffalo Bulls70c110.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0239742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles37c100.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.849157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Buffalo Bulls65c100.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2617…7b8dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12e…e816backed Eastern Michigan Eagles38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…92a9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Buffalo Bulls64c99.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7110244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74ff…08eabacked Buffalo Bulls62c99.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4559…f94ebacked Buffalo Bulls62c99.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb9…cadfbacked Buffalo Bulls62c99.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo Bulls62c97.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Buffalo Bulls67c94.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Buffalo Bulls64c90.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Buffalo Bulls70c82.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Buffalo Bulls65c79.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked Buffalo Bulls64c77.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Buffalo Bulls67c74.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.49470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed Buffalo Bulls69c72.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Buffalo Bulls61c65.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles39c61.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0122544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Buffalo Bulls68c58.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.686159%36 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Eastern Michigan Eagles22c50.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9719454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Buffalo Bulls63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles32c46.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f35…8b4abacked Buffalo Bulls64c46.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles34c44.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9916140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Buffalo Bulls61c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Eastern Michigan Eagles33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.658640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles37c29.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…9b16backed Buffalo Bulls68c29.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.342171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Buffalo Bulls71c29.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.437176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Eastern Michigan Eagles37c27.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Buffalo Bulls63c23.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Buffalo Bulls72c15.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.