Lol · resolved market
LoL: Croatian Flair vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO3) - EBL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b477fae53d9ecd62ac5b1dfe7285e259db894d7c8e326a50b7898aa7c0ab4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lenovo Legion Honvédof Croatian Flair, Lenovo Legion Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,043 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 50c | 2,200$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Croatian Flair | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…9cafbacked Croatian Flair | 56c | 1,757$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 44c | 1,383$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.76 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Croatian Flair | 53c | 374.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 45c | 361.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Croatian Flair | 50c | 268.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 26c | 114.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…69d4backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…d13ebacked Croatian Flair | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed Croatian Flair | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…ca9cbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 52c | 85.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…d0abbacked Croatian Flair | 66c | 73.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 44c | 56.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Croatian Flair | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…e038backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…0c96backed Croatian Flair | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 48c | 48.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Croatian Flair | 47c | 41.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Croatian Flair | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…5024backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Croatian Flair | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…f4a1backed Croatian Flair | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.