TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico Lobos66c97,067$64,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,853.571,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c30,900$10,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,506.087245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c27,114$9,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,104.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c12,087$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.583262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c11,475$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c4,167$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c2,414$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.8811747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c2,146$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico Lobos65c2,145$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.931,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked New Mexico Lobos66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c1,649$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57727450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos73c1,565$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked New Mexico Lobos65c1,547$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.394060%24 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels37c1,433$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9311850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c1,250$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.454,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c1,123$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.3889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c1,111$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.812,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c914.29$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32036535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed New Mexico Lobos64c899.99$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed New Mexico Lobos63c869.63$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.761,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked New Mexico Lobos65c812.31$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.312147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos75c744.03$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.343,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c664.38$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c658.82$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16814151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c442.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.666831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c374.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed New Mexico Lobos75c350.77$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.634738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels7c331$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico Lobos65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6948462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels14c292.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c292.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.513444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels5c289.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c262.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.452,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c247$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.774,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels31c238$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels5c228.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9411743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x532a…bfefbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c222.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked New Mexico Lobos65c183$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.051,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c145.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.221,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked New Mexico Lobos63c134.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.922759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c124$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.383,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico Lobos73c123.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.891,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed New Mexico Lobos67c122$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8597447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed New Mexico Lobos68c117.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.283647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed New Mexico Lobos69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked New Mexico Lobos64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels32c99.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.082,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd90…36f1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels33c95.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked New Mexico Lobos64c93.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.494,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed New Mexico Lobos68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.041,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed New Mexico Lobos64c88.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked New Mexico Lobos78c84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked New Mexico Lobos66c49.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.775447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed New Mexico Lobos66c47.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1225239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed New Mexico Lobos62c46.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5358345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico Lobos66c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.962,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470f…0eadbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f2…0546backed New Mexico Lobos67c41.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked New Mexico Lobos79c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed New Mexico Lobos66c37.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c37.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.861,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed New Mexico Lobos79c37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed New Mexico Lobos67c32.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8421347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c29.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7215…7cb0backed New Mexico Lobos66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c0…97b5backed New Mexico Lobos65c26.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed New Mexico Lobos68c24.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9522953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked New Mexico Lobos63c23.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8136248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a71…4f0fbacked New Mexico Lobos65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed New Mexico Lobos66c22.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd758…9d8bbacked New Mexico Lobos66c18.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked New Mexico Lobos63c17.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.519144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked New Mexico Lobos65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.924553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe682…3c7abacked New Mexico Lobos67c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6b…682bbacked New Mexico Lobos78c16.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…7ff0backed New Mexico Lobos67c16.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1437…a0aabacked New Mexico Lobos68c16.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.193100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda47…c209backed New Mexico Lobos68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c8…c187backed New Mexico Lobos67c15.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…9f44backed New Mexico Lobos67c14.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed New Mexico Lobos75c14.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6618844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.