WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef175bf16b30de2233a9c56ad727c5526b86620c27eadcafb44776bd7a44b96d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Fever, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sparks | 47c | 16,935$8,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,919.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 48c | 6,312$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.86 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Fever | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Fever | 56c | 4,654$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.43 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever | 52c | 4,448$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.85 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Fever | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sparks | 46c | 3,500$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.82 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fever | 48c | 3,074$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Fever | 55c | 2,017$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.17 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Fever | 35c | 1,338$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.61 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Fever | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Fever | 53c | 1,071$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Fever | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Fever | 55c | 816$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.65 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sparks | 43c | 808.12$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever | 54c | 729$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.94 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 48c | 712$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.92 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fever | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sparks | 80c | 668.13$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever | 53c | 645$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sparks | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 42c | 513.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Fever | 55c | 504.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sparks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sparks | 66c | 484$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Fever | 57c | 432.28$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever | 50c | 426$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Sparks | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 61c | 390.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Fever | 48c | 375$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Sparks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Fever | 57c | 297.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sparks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fever | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sparks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Fever | 57c | 174.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Fever | 52c | 158.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…dd9bbacked Sparks | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Fever | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Sparks | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Sparks | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 39c | 106.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Fever | 57c | 103.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Fever | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fever | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 55c | 51.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Fever | 59c | 51.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sparks | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sparks | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Fever | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Fever | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Sparks | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Fever | 61c | 25.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.