Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Davidson Wildcats vs. Duquesne Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6adaf58fd9f278ef8374ea009ab0218475db42098ae84639c37960ea1b5ede76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Davidson Wildcatsof Davidson Wildcats, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Duquesne Dukes | 60c | 3,667$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.2 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes | 36c | 3,121$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 2,555$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duquesne Dukes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 17c | 1,304$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes | 19c | 1,259$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Davidson Wildcats | 64c | 1,026$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.26 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 57c | 643.71$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Duquesne Dukes | 58c | 573.21$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 558.27$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Duquesne Dukes | 4c | 549.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Davidson Wildcats | 43c | 507.24$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.13 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 417$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 20c | 339.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Duquesne Dukes | 59c | 336.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 297.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 278.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Duquesne Dukes | 59c | 257.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Davidson Wildcats | 63c | 239$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Davidson Wildcats | 43c | 230.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Davidson Wildcats | 41c | 230.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 229.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Davidson Wildcats | 65c | 202.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 202.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Davidson Wildcats | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 199.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Davidson Wildcats | 41c | 197.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 183.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Davidson Wildcats | 80c | 180.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 137.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 136.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Duquesne Dukes | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Davidson Wildcats | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 107.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…9816backed Duquesne Dukes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Davidson Wildcats | 42c | 74.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Davidson Wildcats | 42c | 70.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 59c | 67.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Davidson Wildcats | 42c | 61.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 49.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Davidson Wildcats | 44c | 48.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Duquesne Dukes | 35c | 40.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Davidson Wildcats | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Duquesne Dukes | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Duquesne Dukes | 52c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Duquesne Dukes | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 30.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Davidson Wildcats | 41c | 27.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Davidson Wildcats | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Duquesne Dukes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Davidson Wildcats | 63c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Duquesne Dukesthis page
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.