TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nebraska Cornhuskersof Maryland Terrapins, Nebraska Cornhuskers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…8276backed Maryland Terrapins16c14,918$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.4415243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers76c12,292$9,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Maryland Terrapins6c11,653$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.881,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maryland Terrapins20c5,022$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.392,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins5c4,100$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Maryland Terrapins5c3,875$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Maryland Terrapins11c2,353$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.853745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Maryland Terrapins6c2,114$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8375447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Maryland Terrapins3c1,900$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.012,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Maryland Terrapins6c1,580$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.811540%6 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maryland Terrapins22c887.7$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Maryland Terrapins6c831.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Maryland Terrapins6c790.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.462147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Maryland Terrapins17c608.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Maryland Terrapins7c556.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.833,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maryland Terrapins5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Maryland Terrapins13c412.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Maryland Terrapins6c349.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Maryland Terrapins6c342.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Maryland Terrapins8c326.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.372,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Maryland Terrapins8c311.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.947319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Maryland Terrapins5c286.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.335520%11 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryland Terrapins29c282.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.234,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Maryland Terrapins13c280.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8436535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Maryland Terrapins5c262.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Maryland Terrapins6c244.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6824340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maryland Terrapins5c218.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.932,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Maryland Terrapins6c216.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.973520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Maryland Terrapins6c199.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.981,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maryland Terrapins10c191.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…6ce1backed Maryland Terrapins8c187.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…8046backed Maryland Terrapins8c137.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maryland Terrapins9c128.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Maryland Terrapins16c121.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Maryland Terrapins11c120.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Maryland Terrapins20c99.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.094050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Maryland Terrapins12c91.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.952,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers74c79.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.491,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maryland Terrapins16c67.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd88d…2750backed Maryland Terrapins28c62.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.872025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers75c40.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2931666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.