Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55f40dbe98925035abb5d2b1fb67ce833cd051ffc361fca305ab7c0f57408f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Panthersof Youngstown State Penguins, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 17c | 3,835$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 65c | 1,998$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.79 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 1,149$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.87 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 48c | 1,016$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Youngstown State Penguins | 7c | 813.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 671.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Youngstown State Penguins | 38c | 331.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 15c | 306.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 297.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 290.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 269.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Youngstown State Penguins | 31c | 235.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 195.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Milwaukee Panthers | 78c | 185.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 14c | 170.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 169.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 53c | 154.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 141.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 66c | 141.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 36c | 122.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 25c | 99.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Milwaukee Panthers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Milwaukee Panthers | 48c | 79.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Milwaukee Panthers | 66c | 62.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 61.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 30c | 61.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 53.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 39.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 48c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 53c | 33.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Milwaukee Panthers | 57c | 31.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Milwaukee Panthers | 79c | 28.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Youngstown State Penguins | 39c | 26.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Milwaukee Panthers | 67c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.