World Politics · resolved market
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30894b79632fdbcaef58878c366381d7df956b96941153cd9f48741c07d26497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x386f…db83backed No | 1c | 2,491$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 9c | 1,998$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 16c | 836.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 7c | 757.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 3c | 740$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed No | 13c | 559.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 25c | 515$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 9c | 462.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 345.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…44f4backed Yes | 68c | 326.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 7c | 233.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 75c | 205$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 6c | 195.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…e82fbacked Yes | 78c | 161.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 17c | 153$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 8c | 151.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…cc7bbacked No | 42c | 119.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +487.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 76c | 117$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…e4bfbacked No | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…1029backed No | 14c | 113$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 24c | 111.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…25fbbacked No | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2a…d894backed No | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…93b5backed No | 18c | 108.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…e27abacked No | 12c | 107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc549…97b7backed No | 51c | 105.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…d3d3backed No | 14c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…05aebacked No | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…126cbacked No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…2fabbacked No | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…807cbacked No | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 11c | 95.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…14a0backed No | 14c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…8ae8backed No | 14c | 85.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 66c | 52.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 71c | 52.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…ccb4backed Yes | 71c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 40.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…aed2backed Yes | 66c | 30.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?this page
- Will Aksel V. Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?No won
- Will Bárður á Steig Nielsen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?No won
- Will Høgni Hoydal be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.