Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ce5cf00383c92f2872822669adb65602db6b3028215175ca13481546dbbb59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7401…da60backed No | 71c | 1,543$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,404$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.01 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 944$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 51c | 411.94$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 38c | 383$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 10c | 324$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 7c | 289.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…8104backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 30c | 189$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 23c | 170.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 155.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 18c | 127.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 119.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 53c | 93.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 89.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes | 78c | 83.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 78c | 79.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 46c | 69.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 79c | 67.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 22c | 60.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…c785backed No | 22c | 51.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 80c | 50.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 50.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 38c | 47.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 49c | 41.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…620bbacked Yes | 80c | 37.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 65c | 37.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 70c | 34.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 36c | 31.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes | 79c | 30.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Yes | 45c | 30.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed No | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 77c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 79c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Ghana be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.