South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x320c4abc55f3c92b131625dd17de73dabf34fa55ee94b0ee362fb743359e65db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 57c | 3,319$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.11 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,021$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 43c | 2,838$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,722$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 35c | 1,502$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 913.12$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 44c | 768.57$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 708.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 697.88$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 37c | 686.72$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 489.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 410.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.66 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 306.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 43c | 210.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 37c | 206.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 195.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 184$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 158.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes | 38c | 152.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 36c | 130.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Yes | 39c | 123.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Yes | 39c | 118.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 29c | 109.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 105.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 34c | 104.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 100.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 90.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 43c | 90.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 38c | 85.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 77.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 45c | 77.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed No | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 47c | 58.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 37c | 48.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 46.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 45.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 43c | 45.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 43c | 44.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 38c | 42.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 39.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 38.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 46c | 31.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 67c | 27.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.