South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886d76ef68ddddb7d0b41103115d20aef2a5928ebcbb4e19bb2b3062251c0633
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 3,243$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 52c | 2,797$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 1,473$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.83 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 1,423$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.22 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 1c | 1,013$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 848.75$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.84 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 30c | 786.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 488.55$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 392.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 392.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 307.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 245.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 231$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 33c | 218.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…775abacked Yes | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 117.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked No | 18c | 94.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 76.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 70c | 71.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 76c | 64.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 51.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 26c | 51.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 42c | 42.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 46c | 38.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 42c | 35.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 45c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 59c | 28.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.