Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd79560c5011ec6360f0be9d7f886c58de7f90ff05c0b511c1c340720593f2444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof Twisted Minds Orchid, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Karmine Corp GC | 44c | 1,065$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.63 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 70c | 845.44$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 837$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.02 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Karmine Corp GC | 9c | 658.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Karmine Corp GC | 45c | 653.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 72c | 414.77$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Karmine Corp GC | 45c | 328.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 318.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Karmine Corp GC | 10c | 277.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 68c | 242.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 190.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp GC | 41c | 190.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…d9f0backed Karmine Corp GC | 42c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp GC | 36c | 179.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 69c | 170.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 160.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Karmine Corp GC | 7c | 148.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 145.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 57c | 141$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 75c | 138.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 61c | 98.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 67c | 97.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 50c | 95.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 95.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 75c | 90.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 77c | 88.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 57c | 84.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Karmine Corp GC | 14c | 82.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 58.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…ee13backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Karmine Corp GC | 41c | 48.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Karmine Corp GC | 38c | 48.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Karmine Corp GC | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 31.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Twisted Minds Orchid (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+2.5)Karmine Corp GC won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageKarmine Corp GC won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.