Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2fc98357e6e2c1183f1204299093025ff3f7279c8b508d976ad078be5417b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp GCof Twisted Minds Orchid, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 45c | 2,016$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.01 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 1,708$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.6 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…331dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 24c | 1,357$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 51c | 1,193$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 61c | 1,167$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 58c | 916.02$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.46 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 41c | 853.39$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.23 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 63c | 839.4$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.82 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 10c | 832.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Karmine Corp GC | 57c | 628.08$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 611.8$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.08 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 32c | 563$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…fbc4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 3c | 520.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 519.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp GC | 43c | 515.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 39c | 468.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.89 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 43c | 468.45$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 447.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 42c | 423.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 63c | 246$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 45c | 239.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 174.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 45c | 167.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 75c | 155.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp GC | 27c | 150.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 38c | 146.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 57c | 118.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 115.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 71c | 112.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 51c | 101.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp GC | 30c | 101$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp GC | 47c | 97.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 92.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 59c | 87.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 82.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 73c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 55c | 62.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 60.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Karmine Corp GC | 54c | 55.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…0be7backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Karmine Corp GC | 38c | 49.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Karmine Corp GC | 30c | 48.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Karmine Corp GC | 60c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Karmine Corp GC | 45c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 23.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 66c | 19.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Twisted Minds Orchid (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+2.5)Karmine Corp GC won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageKarmine Corp GC won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.