Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2a4c6315daeaefe47b0d86dfddbedd35c76f2ed5dc8cc24d26ccd3a0c5c65f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuxeria Esportof Esprit Shōnen, Nuxeria Esport
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,606 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Esprit Shōnen	63c	6,214$3,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,890.26	158	50%79 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuxeria Esport	61c	3,002$1,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.77	324	62.7%203 W · 121 L	+31.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Esprit Shōnen	21c	2,238$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.05	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Esprit Shōnen	40c	1,979$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.31	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	1,950$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,228.22	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	1,454$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.93	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Nuxeria Esport	36c	1,067$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.44	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nuxeria Esport	43c	1,003$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.75	234	47%110 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Esprit Shōnen	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Esprit Shōnen	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	0%0 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	966.9$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.89	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Esprit Shōnen	50c	934.02$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.24	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Esprit Shōnen	1c	800$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	63	0%0 W · 63 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Esprit Shōnen	51c	783.57$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.98	351	42.5%149 W · 202 L	-14.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Esprit Shōnen	63c	776.03$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.9	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Esprit Shōnen	64c	750$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuxeria Esport	53c	579.48$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.2	702	51.3%360 W · 342 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	519.59$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.34	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	501$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.63	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Esprit Shōnen	45c	493.6$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.19	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Esprit Shōnen	18c	427.29$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.65	361	38.5%139 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Nuxeria Esport	36c	401$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.64	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Nuxeria Esport	38c	376.48$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.42	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+113.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Esprit Shōnen	11c	366.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	312	27.6%86 W · 226 L	-33.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Esprit Shōnen	41c	345.05$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.49	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen	47c	328.89$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.83	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Esprit Shōnen	46c	302.89$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.8	425	40.5%172 W · 253 L	-22.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Nuxeria Esport	37c	300$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Esprit Shōnen	44c	218.63$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.2	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Esprit Shōnen	59c	214.74$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.04	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0da…f1d8backed Esprit Shōnen	34c	206.65$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Esprit Shōnen	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	266	34.6%92 W · 174 L	-13.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nuxeria Esport	50c	180$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.43	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Nuxeria Esport	56c	173.87$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Nuxeria Esport	61c	160.94$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Esprit Shōnen	40c	156.11$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	168	42.3%71 W · 97 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Esprit Shōnen	41c	141$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Esprit Shōnen	54c	137.85$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.31	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc043…ec1ebacked Esprit Shōnen	33c	133.84$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.26	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-47%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0737…fe78backed Esprit Shōnen	49c	133.43$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.83	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nuxeria Esport	45c	130.33$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.68	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Nuxeria Esport	38c	126.68$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.54	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Esprit Shōnen	39c	121.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	308	35.4%109 W · 199 L	-23.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Esprit Shōnen	41c	120.52$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Esprit Shōnen	37c	116.2$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.63	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed Esprit Shōnen	22c	108.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Esprit Shōnen	20c	101.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	308	28.2%87 W · 221 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Nuxeria Esport	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	99.65$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.78	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuxeria Esport	68c	96.41$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.97	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nuxeria Esport	48c	95.52$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.3	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Esprit Shōnen	58c	83.95$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.07	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nuxeria Esport	37c	80$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Nuxeria Esport	53c	73.93$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.86	196	61.7%121 W · 75 L	+20.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Esprit Shōnen	27c	60.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	155	12.3%19 W · 136 L	-27.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Esprit Shōnen	53c	59.02$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Esprit Shōnen	27c	55.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Nuxeria Esport	72c	49.16$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	345	71%245 W · 100 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Esprit Shōnen	30c	48.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Esprit Shōnen	63c	47.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed Nuxeria Esport	62c	45.71$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Esprit Shōnen	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.3wins	-0.33per pick	56cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c40…0277backed Esprit Shōnen	33c	38.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Esprit Shōnen	30c	35.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Esprit Shōnen	64c	35$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Nuxeria Esport	44c	33.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	112	58%65 W · 47 L	+12.8wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Nuxeria Esport	54c	30.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Esprit Shōnen	61c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Esprit Shōnen	45c	29.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Nuxeria Esport	38c	27.87$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Esprit Shōnen	58c	23.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	156	42.3%66 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb6…aa53backed Nuxeria Esport	69c	21.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Esprit Shōnen	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Esprit Shōnen	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Esprit Shōnen	69c	17.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fce…0c8fbacked Esprit Shōnen	63c	16.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Esprit Shōnen	64c	15.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 1 WinnerNuxeria Esport won
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 2 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event